Kalshi · Football
marginal.vole is a MLS pro on Kalshi: 63 picks, 68.3% win rate, $238 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 27 won, 33 lost, 45.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 16 | 16 | 10 | 62.5% |
| Liga MX | 14 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Liga de Expansion MX | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| CONMEBOL Libertadores | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
marginal.vole mainly predicts MLS: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.3% hit rate over 63 orders, P&L $238, ROI 25.3%. In MLS, 10 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-11 13:32 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Montedio 0:1 Vegalta Japan J2 League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Montedio 0:1 Vegalta Japan J2 League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | America 1:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | America wins 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | America 1:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta 1:3 FC Cincinnati MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta 1:3 FC Cincinnati MLS | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Orlando 3:2 Columbus Crew (Columbus) MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 2:0 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Juarez 1:1 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) 0:0 Remo Brasileiro Serie A | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) 0:0 Remo Brasileiro Serie A | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 3:1 Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) Ligue 1 | PSG wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:2 Atlético Madrid (Atletico) La Liga | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tigres wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 Leon Liga MX | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Instituto Cordoba 2:2 Boca Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 5:0 Tijuana de Caliente Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Toronto FC MLS | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Toronto FC MLS | Miami vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) German Super Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Leon 3:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2:0 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Juarez 1:2 America Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Sociedad La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 4:0 RC Strasbourg Alsace Ligue 1 | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) 0:1 Al Ittihad Saudi Pro League | Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) 1:3 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) 1:3 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) 1:3 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Botafogo FC 1:0 Cienciano CONMEBOL Sudamericana | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:0 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Macara 0:0 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 0:0 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) CONMEBOL Libertadores | LDU Quito vs Mirassol: LDU Quito To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) 1:1 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) La Liga | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Górnik Zabrze (Gornik Zabrze) 2:3 AS Monaco FC Conference League | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 3:1 Aarhus Europa League | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) 0:1 FC Red Bull Salzburg (Salzburg) Europa League | Mjallby vs Salzburg Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | FC Inter Turku 0:0 Copenhagen Conference League | Inter Turku vs Copenhagen Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0:1 Houston MLS | Vancouver vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0:1 Houston MLS | Vancouver vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | LA Galaxy 1:0 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Independ. Santa Fe 0:0 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado 1:0 Los Angeles FC MLS | Colorado vs Los Angeles F Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 2:1 Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City 1:1 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | FC Cincinnati 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Cincinnati vs New York City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | FC Cincinnati 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Cincinnati vs New York City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia 2:2 Inter Miami CF MLS | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Orlando 1:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia 2:2 Inter Miami CF MLS | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 3:0 LASK Linz (LASK) Champions League | both teams score | Lost |