Kalshi · Football
alvaroap21 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 25 picks, 70.8% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 29 won, 30 lost, 49.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 13 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| Nations League | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| La Liga | 5 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
alvaroap21 mainly predicts MLB: 13 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.8% hit rate over 25 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 53.0%. In MLB, 4 of 13 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 09:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) 0:2 Club Atlético Belgrano (Belgrano de Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Cagliari Calcio 1:1 Juventus FC Serie A | Juventus wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Inter Toronto FC 1:2 FC Supra du Québec (FC Supra Du Quebec) Canadian Premier League | FC Supra Du Quebec wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) 2:2 Saint Kitts and Nevis CONCACAF Nations League | Cuba wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:0 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) 3:2 Anguilla CONCACAF Nations League | Aruba wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | F5 Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 1:2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) Nations League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Nations League | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | AME -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) 0:7 Finland men's national football team (Finland) Nations League | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:1 Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) Nations League | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:0 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:8 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 7:3 Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 2:1 Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB | Yomiuri Giants wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Bilibili Gaming Junior 0:1 Movistar KOI Fénix World Star Challengers Invitational | Movistar KOI Fénix wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Barracas 0:1 Rivadavia Argentina Primera Division | Rivadavia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Barracas 0:1 Rivadavia Argentina Primera Division | Barracas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 3:2 Palmeiras CONMEBOL Libertadores | Palmeiras To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Cincinnati Reds 6:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | SK Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz) 0:0 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Europa League | Stade Rennais wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 1:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Levante UD 0:0 Bilbao La Liga | Bilbao wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-16 | Cleveland Guardians 6:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | AC Omonia (Omonia Nicosia) 1:0 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) Europa League | Celta Vigo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 0:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Atromitos Athinon 0:1 PAOK FC (PAOK) Greek Cup | PAOK wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Sassari 2:1 Pianese Serie C | Sassari wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | MIA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 3:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) EFL Cup | Liverpool To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 2:3 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) EFL Cup | Fulham To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 0:1 Valencia La Liga | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Al Ain FC 4:0 Al Nassr Club AFC Champions League | Al Nassr wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:0 G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril) Liga Portugal | Braga wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Gaziantep F.K. (Gaziantep) 0:0 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Super Lig | Fenerbahce wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Al-Shamal 1:1 Al Ittihad AFC Champions League | Al-Ittihad wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Neftchi 1:0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya AFC Champions League | Neftchi wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | BET-M 33 0:2 Team Nemesis CIS LAN Championship | Team Nemesis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 2:1 Juarez Liga MX | Santos Laguna wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 1:1 Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) Brasileiro Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Faisaly) 1:3 Al Ittihad Saudi Pro League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Independ. Santa Fe 0:0 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:3 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |