Kalshi · Football
thebigdawg23 is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 69.4% win rate, $241 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 23 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% |
| Serie A | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| EuroCup | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
thebigdawg23 mainly predicts NBA: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.4% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $241, ROI 33.7%. In NBA, 11 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-04 13:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | San Diego St. 102:78 Cal State Fullerton Men's College Basketball | SDSU +16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-04 | Miami (OH) RedHawks 31:34 Buffalo NCAAF | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-11-04 | Panteras de Aguascalientes 75:87 Soles de Mexicali Mexico LNBP | Panteras de Aguascalientes wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | Golden State Warriors 116:113 Phoenix Suns NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Los Angeles Clippers 118:125 Toronto Raptors NBA | Los Angeles C wins the 3rd quarter | Won |
| 2026-11-03 | Denver Nuggets 110:118 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | LAL -31.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Portland Trail Blazers 124:83 Phoenix Suns NBA | POR +37.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | LAL -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Clippers 121:96 Sacramento Kings NBA | LAC -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | LAL +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:2 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | Los Angeles L wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | New Orleans Pelicans 120:123 Indiana Pacers NBA | IND -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Miami Heat (Heat) 106:131 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | MIN -28.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Orlando Magic 125:132 Atlanta Hawks NBA | ATL +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Washington Wizards 128:116 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | WAS -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Houston Rockets 128:110 Dallas Mavericks NBA | HOU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Miami Heat (Heat) 106:131 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Washington Wizards 128:116 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | Washington wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Heroic 1:2 FaZe DraculaN | FaZe wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Napoli Basket 105:101 Tofas SK Bursa EuroCup | Tofas SK Bursa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Derthona Basket 89:79 CB San Pablo Burgos EuroCup | CB San Pablo Burgos wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | U-BT Cluj-Napoca 72:89 London Lions EuroCup | London Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Manchester Basketball 92:94 Caledonia Gladiators England Super League | Caledonia Gladiators wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 5:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Nanjing Monkey Kings 96:95 Guangdong Southern Tigers Chinese Basketball Association | Nanjing Monkey Kings wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Tasmania JackJumpers 98:92 New Zealand Breakers Australia NBL | New Zealand Breakers wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) 0:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 1:0 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | Venezia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Zhejiang Lions 115:109 Shanxi Loongs Chinese Basketball Association | Zhejiang Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Nassr Club 3:1 Neftchi AFC Champions League | Al Nassr wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atalanta BC (Atalanta) 3:1 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Galatasaray SK 88:93 Bursaspor Turkey BSL | GSN +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atalanta BC (Atalanta) 3:1 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Burgos CF 0:1 Granada CF La Liga 2 | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (Pakhtakor) 1:1 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) AFC Champions League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Denver Nuggets 133:128 Chicago Bulls NBA | DEN +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Cusco FC 1:2 Club Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Charlotte Hornets 105:90 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | CHA +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Bahia 1:0 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Charlotte Hornets 105:90 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | Milwaukee wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | F.C. Arouca (FC Arouca) 1:0 C.F. Estrela da Amadora (Estrela Amadora) Liga Portugal | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Santander 2:2 Valencia La Liga | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | WAS -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Tokyo Verdy 0:2 Hiroshima Japan J1 League | Hiroshima wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Phoenix Suns 102:98 San Antonio Spurs NBA | PHX +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Heat (Heat) 124:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Wizards 114:108 Detroit Pistons NBA | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Golden State Warriors 111:106 Sacramento Kings NBA | GSW -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Chicago Fire FC 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Sittard 1:1 Enschede Eredivisie | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 3:0 Frosinone Calcio Serie A | Napoli wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Madeira FC Porto Liga Portugal | Porto wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |