Kalshi · Football
bare.grouse3714 is a Liga MX pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 69.1% win rate, $273 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 23 won, 37 lost, 38.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 14 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| Fifa Friendly | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| UEFA Nations League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Major League Soccer | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| UEFA Women's Champions League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
bare.grouse3714 mainly predicts Liga MX: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.1% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $273, ROI 31.7%. In Liga MX, 3 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-06 10:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) Fifa Friendly | Congo DR wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 1:2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Nicaragua wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 0:0 Germany UEFA Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | West Ham W 0:3 Chelsea W England Women's Super League | West Ham wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | America 0:0 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Club Friendlies | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Seattle 2:1 Kansas City Major League Soccer | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Cayman Islands men's national football team (Cayman Islands) 0:3 Puerto Rico men's national basketball team (Puerto Rico) CONCACAF Nations League | Cayman Islands wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Paris FC W 2:2 Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Seychelles 0:2 Sri Lanka Fifa Friendly | Sri Lanka wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Anguilla 0:2 Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) CONCACAF Nations League | Anguilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | USA 4:2 Chile Fifa Friendly | Chile wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | French Guiana 1:0 Sint Maarten CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0:0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) UEFA Nations League | Finland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 6:0 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | San Lorenzo 0:0 CD Recoleta APF División de Honor | San Lorenzo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | America FC 0:1 Juventude RS Brasileirão Série B | Juventude RS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Leon 2:1 Juarez Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Leon 2:1 Juarez Liga MX | Leon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pumas UNAM 2:3 San Luis Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 1:0 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Pachuca wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 3:3 D.C. United (D.C. United SC) Major League Soccer | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Puebla wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:0 Chile Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Saint-Martin 0:2 Virgin Islands, U.S. CONCACAF Nations League | Virgin Islands, U.S. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1:2 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara (Leones Negros) Liga de Expansión MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Celta Fortuna 1:1 Centre d'Esports Sabadell Futbol Club (Sabadell) LaLiga 2 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Granada CF 2:3 Andorra LaLiga 2 | Andorra wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Granada CF 2:3 Andorra LaLiga 2 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Progreso 2:1 Racing Club de Montevideo Primera División (Uruguay) | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Atlas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) 1:0 Jaiba Brava Liga de Expansión MX | Correcaminos wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Cavalry FC 6:0 FC Supra du Québec (FC Supra Du Quebec) Canadian Premier League | FC Supra Du Quebec wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) 2:3 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 4:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) 3:0 Pasto Categoría Primera A | Boyaca Chico wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Seattle 4:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 5:7 Houston MLB | A's wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Seattle 2:0 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Major League Soccer | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women 0:0 Associazione Sportiva Roma W UEFA Women's Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women 0:0 Associazione Sportiva Roma W UEFA Women's Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Real Betis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 2:2 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer | Los Angeles F wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Atlas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Lost |