Kalshi · Football · Basketball
heat.pad is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 68.8% win rate, $527 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 24 won, 36 lost, 40.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 28 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Fifa Friendly | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| UEFA Nations League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
heat.pad mainly predicts MLB: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $527, ROI 30.5%. In MLB, 11 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Real Sociedad B 2–3 Granada CF LaLiga 2 | Real Sociedad B wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3–0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3–0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Fifa Friendly | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 New York Yankees MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 0–1 Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) Brasileirão Série B | Botafogo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2–0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0–2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | El Salvador wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Fifa Friendly | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1–2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) UEFA Nations League | Kazakhstan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Belize 0–1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines CONCACAF Nations League | Belize wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3–6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5–3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 6–0 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | El Salvador wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Suriname 2–1 Martinique CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0–1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 2–1 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Fifa Friendly | Japan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) 1–2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Trinidad and Tobago wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2–4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2–1 Inter Miami CF Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Jaguares 1–2 Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) Categoría Primera A | Jaguares wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 2–0 Costa Rica CONCACAF Nations League | Haiti wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27–35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco Giants 1–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0–1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | Netherlands wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Athletics 2–13 Houston MLB | A's wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 2–6 Texas MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Philadelphia 0–2 Tampa Bay MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees Baltimore MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Atlanta 6–7 Cincinnati MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees 6–4 Tampa Bay MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6–5 Houston MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6–5 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1–5 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1–5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta 3–2 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta 3–2 Cincinnati MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 2–7 New York Mets MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Inter Miami CF 2–2 San Diego FC Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Mets 2–7 Philadelphia MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Juventus FC 2–0 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Juventus wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1–1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5–3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago WS 3–1 Detroit MLB | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0–1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Nottingham Forest wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma 2–2 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Inter wins | Lost |