Kalshi · Football · Basketball
plain.staff is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 62.5% win rate, $539 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 20 won, 40 lost, 33.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 24 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% |
| Nations League | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
plain.staff mainly predicts MLB: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $539, ROI 13.9%. In MLB, 8 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-07 03:56 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | TB -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Philadelphia 76ers 120:97 New York Knicks NBA | PHI -11.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Philadelphia 76ers 120:97 New York Knicks NBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | NC St. 31:28 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Golden State Valkyries 77:73 Dallas Wings WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Golden State Valkyries 77:73 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | FRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Michael Olise: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | New York Yankees 10:2 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami 3:0 Atlanta MLB | MIA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Miami 3:0 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees Baltimore MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | FRA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | LAD -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Final score Norway wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Yankees 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers 10:4 San Francisco MLB | LAD -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Houston 3:6 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas A&M Aggies 21:31 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | TXAM -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:2 San Francisco MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:2 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Houston 2:6 Atlanta MLB | ATL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | New York Mets 6:3 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Malaga wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado 2:9 San Diego MLB | SD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Leon 2:0 San Luis Liga MX | Leon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal CF 1:2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Villarreal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal CF 1:2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Nashville SC MLS | Nashville wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami Marlins 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | MIA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami Marlins 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | New York Yankees 2:12 New York Mets MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:2 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Chelsea wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Houston Astros MLB | HOU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Levante UD 2:4 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Pumas UNAM 3:1 Leon Liga MX | PUM -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Pumas UNAM 3:1 Leon Liga MX | Leon wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | SF -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | New York Yankees 10:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | NYY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago Fire FC 1:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |