Kalshi · Football
married.firefly2121 is a CONCACAF Nations League pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 66.7% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 19 won, 41 lost, 31.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONCACAF Nations League | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Nations League | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| La Liga 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Japan J1 League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
married.firefly2121 mainly predicts CONCACAF Nations League: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 42.5%. In CONCACAF Nations League, 4 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 03:23 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 1:2 Juventus FC Europa League | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | LASK Linz (LASK) 3:6 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Lille OSC (Lille) Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Oviedo 3:1 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Oviedo 3:1 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Eibar wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 0:0 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Frontale 1:2 Nagoya Grampus (Nagoya) Japan J1 League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Frontale 1:2 Nagoya Grampus (Nagoya) Japan J1 League | Nagoya wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Club Atlético Peñarol (Penarol) 1:1 Progreso Uruguay Primera Division | Penarol wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2:2 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Central Cordoba wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2:2 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Botafogo PB 1:0 Santa Cruz FC PE Brasileiro Serie C | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Jubilo I 1:0 Sapporo Japan J2 League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Cheonan City 1:0 Gyeongnam Korea K League 2 | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0:1 FC Anyang Korea K League 1 | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Tokyo 3:0 Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) Japan J1 League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Seoul 2:1 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Tepatitlán F.C. (Tepatitlan) 1:1 Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) Liga de Expansion MX | Atletico Morelia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Tepatitlán F.C. (Tepatitlan) 1:1 Club Atlético Morelia (Atletico Morelia) Liga de Expansion MX | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Tapatio 2:4 Club Atlético La Paz (Club Atletico La Paz) Liga de Expansion MX | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Instituto Cordoba 2:2 Boca Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) 3:2 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) 3:2 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 1:1 QPR EFL Championship | West Ham wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2:2 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Santos wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) 1:1 Millonarios Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) 2:0 Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 0:0 Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | America FC 0:1 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 0:0 Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | French Guiana 1:0 Belize CONCACAF Nations League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Olimpia 1:1 Club Nacional Asunción APF Division de Honor | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) 0:0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 2:2 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) 1:1 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Club Nacional de Football 2:0 Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) Uruguay Primera Division | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Martinique 1:1 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Martinique wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Cyprus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Rwanda men's national basketball team (Rwanda) 0:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Llaneros 1:2 América de Cali (America Cali) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Haiti wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Bahamas men's national basketball team (Bahamas) 2:3 Virgin Islands, U.S. CONCACAF Nations League | Bahamas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Bahamas men's national basketball team (Bahamas) 2:3 Virgin Islands, U.S. CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Cúcuta Deportivo (Cucuta) 4:0 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Guyana 8:1 Dominica CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 1:0 Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cádiz Club de Fútbol (Cádiz CF) 4:0 Leganes La Liga 2 | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Albacete Balompié (Albacete) 1:3 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Oita 2:1 Montedio Japan J2 League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Vanuatu men's national football team (Vanuatu) 0:1 Fiji men's national football team (Fiji) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |