Kalshi · Football
just.trying.to.make.aliving is a Champions League pro on Kalshi: 26 picks, 61.5% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 22 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% |
| La Liga | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
just.trying.to.make.aliving mainly predicts Champions League: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.5% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 128.0%. In Champions League, 9 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 11:09 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 5:0 Juarez Liga MX | CRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Atlanta 1:3 Inter Miami CF MLS | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | AS Roma 2:0 Genoa CFC (Genoa) Serie A | Roma wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Lille OSC (Lille) 1:1 Stade Brestois 29 (Stade Brest 29) Ligue 1 | Lille wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Dani Olmo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Karim Adeyemi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Fermin Lopez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Gabriel Jesus: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1:3 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) 0:0 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) 1:2 Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 1:2 Juventus FC Europa League | Juventus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 1:2 Juventus FC Europa League | JUV -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Inter Miami CF 2:0 New York City FC MLS | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | River Plate wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Paulo Dybala: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Vinicius Junior: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 3:2 Como 1907 Champions League | Feyenoord wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Boca Juniors 0:1 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Reg Time: Boca Juniors wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Villarreal CF 3:1 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Champions League | Napoli wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | Lautaro Martinez: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Dani Olmo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Fermin Lopez: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Lille OSC (Lille) Champions League | Viktor Gyokeres: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Champions League | Julian Alvarez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Michael Olise: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Levante UD 3:3 Sevilla FC La Liga | Sevilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Pumas UNAM 3:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | America 1:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Gabriel Jesus: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Augsburg 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | CHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Chile wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) 1:1 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Martinique 1:1 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Martinique wins | Lost |