UEFA Nations League ·
Iceland vs Bulgaria result (3-0) on 4 Oct 2026 (UEFA Nations League): 95 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 77% backing Iceland to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Iceland 3-0 Bulgaria (2026-10-04). Before the result, 77% of 35 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Iceland to win — that call was right.
95 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Iceland 27 (77%) · Draw 4 (11%) · Bulgaria 4 (11%).
Iceland, last 5: W D L L L. Bulgaria, last 5: D L D L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 11:18 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
95 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Iceland to win 27 (77%) · the draw 4 (11%) · Bulgaria to win 4 (11%).
| 2026-09-30 | vs Luxembourg | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Estonia | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-06-10 | vs Argentina | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-05-31 | vs Japan | 0-1 | L |
| 2025-11-17 | vs Ukraine | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Estonia | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Luxembourg | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-06-06 | vs Moldova | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-06-01 | vs Montenegro | 0-1 | L |
| 2025-11-19 | vs Georgia | 2-1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | exact score 3 - 0 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Iceland -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | exact score 3 - 0 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Iceland -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 3 - 0 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Robertdancce Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | JakeHursty Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | chux.cc Polymarket | Bulgaria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Ecasas Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x3e43…0306 Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Corny-Quartet Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Miki7770 Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x4d2d…b9cf Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Tys0n8686 Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Enraged-Youth Polymarket | Iceland -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | oieshfn345 Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | oieshfn345 Polymarket | Bulgaria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Poolymath Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Halftime · Iceland leading | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Iceland -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 3 - 0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Iceland -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Bulgaria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 3 - 1 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x882c…5d07 Polymarket | Bulgaria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | jonynisen Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Niklas.09 Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | katie26 Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | zhuz632 Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Hilarious-Paddle Polymarket | corners 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Funboyboy Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Trivial-Player Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | unicornpol Polymarket | Bulgaria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | dips. Polymarket | draw at halftime | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Gptball Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | wiskundeman17 Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Punctual-Motor Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Oinky Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Oinky Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x3e43…0306 Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Funboyboy Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | katie26 Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x882c…5d07 Polymarket | Bulgaria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | JakeHursty Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Ecasas Polymarket | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Enraged-Youth Polymarket | Iceland -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | chux.cc Polymarket | Bulgaria to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Poolymath Polymarket | Iceland vs Bulgaria O/U 3.5 | Won |