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Kalshi
Public prediction record of trail.bear on Kalshi: 35 entries, 62.9% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
WLLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Macara 4–3 Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) LigaPro | Macara wins | Hit |
| 2026-09-01 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 4–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) The Championship | Wolverhampton wins | Miss |
| 2026-08-16 | Pumas UNAM 0–0 Querétaro F.C. (Querétaro FC) Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2–1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Atlas vs Tigres Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles FC 0–1 San Diego FC Major League Soccer | Los Angeles F vs San Diego FC Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota Vikings (Minnesota) 3–1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | Minnesota vs Atlante Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-08-10 | Club América (CF América) 3–1 Portland Timbers (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-08-10 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2–1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs New York City Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2–2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-07-30 | MLS All-Star Game (MLS All Stars) 4–3 Liga MX All Stars MLS All-Star | MLS All Stars vs Liga MX All Stars: Liga MX All Stars To Advance | Hit |
| 2026-07-29 | Girona FC 3–3 CD Castellón Club Friendlies | Girona vs Castellon Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-07-28 | Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) 1–4 Myanmar men's national football team (Myanmar) ASEAN Championship | Philippines vs Myanmar Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Querétaro FC) 0–1 Club América (CF América) Liga MX | Queretaro vs America Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) 81–86 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Will Phoenix win the San Antonio vs Phoenix Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026? | Miss |
| 2026-07-19 | Chicago Blackhawks (Chicago) 0–2 Angel City FC NWSL | Under 1.5 | Miss |
| 2026-07-18 | France men's national association football team (France) 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-07-18 | France men's national association football team (France) 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-07-18 | France men's national association football team (France) 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Miss |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Hit |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Hit |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Hit |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Hit |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands national association football team (Netherlands) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Hit |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany men's national association football team (Germany) 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Hit |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Miss |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Hit |
| 2026-06-27 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Miss |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Miss |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal win the 1st Half | Hit |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Hit |
| 2026-06-20 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Hit |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner? | Hit |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-06-06 | Vanuatu men's national football team (Vanuatu) 2–1 Fiji men's national football team (Fiji) International Friendly | Vanuatu vs Fiji Winner? | Miss |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | PSG vs Arsenal Winner? | Miss |