Polymarket · Football
Costly-Compass-Monitor is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 58 picks, 75.5% win rate, $15K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 43 won, 13 lost, 76.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 32 | 32 | 23 | 71.9% |
| UEFA Nations League | 24 | 20 | 16 | 80.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
Costly-Compass-Monitor mainly predicts World Cup: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.5% hit rate over 58 orders, P&L $15K, ROI 23.4%. In World Cup, 23 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-03 04:35 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 6–0 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) UEFA Nations League | Poland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 6–0 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) UEFA Nations League | Poland to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0–0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) UEFA Nations League | Azerbaijan to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0–0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) UEFA Nations League | Azerbaijan to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) UEFA Nations League | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | Republic of Ireland men's national association football team (Republic of Ireland) Israel men's national football team (Israel) UEFA Nations League | Republic of Ireland to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 6–0 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) UEFA Nations League | Poland to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 6–0 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) UEFA Nations League | Poland to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England to win | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Turkiye UEFA Nations League | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | Republic of Ireland men's national association football team (Republic of Ireland) Israel men's national football team (Israel) UEFA Nations League | Republic of Ireland to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3–1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Sweden to win | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3–1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Sweden to win | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0–0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) UEFA Nations League | Azerbaijan to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3–1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Sweden to win | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Norway to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | Netherlands to win | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) 0–3 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) UEFA Nations League | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Sevilla 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2–3 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 1–2 Real Betis Balompié La Liga | Real Betis Balompié to win | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Senegal to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2–0 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1–3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) 3–1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Qatar to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |