Polymarket · Football
big-bird1 is a Nations League pro on Polymarket: 156 picks, 68.0% win rate, $514 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 51 have settled: 19 won, 32 lost, 37.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 37 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% |
| Worlds | 15 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% |
| Bundesliga | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| IEM | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Saudi Pro League | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
big-bird1 mainly predicts Nations League: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.0% hit rate over 156 orders, P&L $514, ROI 22.3%. In Nations League, 12 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-11-16 04:09 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-16 | France 0:0 Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) Nations League | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | France 0:0 Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) Nations League | France -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | France 0:0 Turkey men's national football team (Türkiye) Nations League | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | Spain -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | Spain to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Italy -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-16 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 7:2 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Finland to win | Won |
| 2026-11-16 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 7:2 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Finland to win | Won |
| 2026-11-16 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 7:2 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Finland to win | Won |
| 2026-11-15 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 7:2 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) Nations League | Finland to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 1:0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Nations League | Ukraine to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 1:0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Nations League | Ukraine to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 1:0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Nations League | Ukraine to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-11-15 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-14 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:1 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) Nations League | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:1 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) Nations League | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:1 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) Nations League | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Netherlands 7:0 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-11-14 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:1 Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) Nations League | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 3:2 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Latvia to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Latvia to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Latvia to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-11-13 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 3:1 France Nations League | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-08 | RB Leipzig 5:2 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | FC Augsburg -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-11-08 | RB Leipzig 5:2 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | FC Augsburg -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-11-07 | RB Leipzig 5:2 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | FC Augsburg -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-11-06 | Dplus KIA 0:3 Bilibili Gaming Worlds | Map 1 · Dplus KIA to win | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | Al Ettifaq Saudi Club Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal Saudi Club) Saudi Pro League | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | FURIA 1:2 BetBoom Team IEM | Total games 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | FURIA 1:2 BetBoom Team IEM | Total games 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | PARIVISION 1:2 Natus Vincere IEM | Total games 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 1 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 3 · Gen.G to win | Won |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 2 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 3 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 3 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 3 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 3 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 3 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 2 · Gen.G to win | Lost |
| 2026-11-05 | Gen.G 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) Worlds | Map 2 · Gen.G to win | Lost |