Kalshi · Football
Saffr0n is a UEFA Nations League pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 69.6% win rate, $573 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | 22 | 22 | 13 | 59.1% |
| Valorant | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Fifa Friendly | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| CS2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
Saffr0n mainly predicts UEFA Nations League: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.6% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $573, ROI 14.8%. In UEFA Nations League, 13 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 02:03 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0–7 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Nongshim RedForce 2–1 Karmine Corp Valorant | Karmine Corp wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Team Liquid 0–2 G2 Esports Valorant | G2 Esports wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Club Necaxa 2–4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0–1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | NED -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0–2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | FUT Esports 2–0 JD Gaming Valorant | JD Gaming wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | T1 0–2 100 Thieves Valorant | T1 wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | EDward Gaming 0–2 LOUD Valorant | Under 2.5 maps | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Philadelphia 0–2 Tampa Bay MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3–1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Team Vitality 2–1 Global Esports Valorant | Global Esports wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0–1 Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0–1 Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) UEFA Nations League | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) 3–1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) Africa Cup of Nations | Cape Verde wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | NRG 2–0 Nongshim RedForce Valorant | Nongshim RedForce wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | USA 4–1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–0 Chile Fifa Friendly | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Fifa Friendly | Colombia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Fifa Friendly | BRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 3–1 IR Iran Fifa Friendly | IR Iran wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 3–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Fifa Friendly | Japan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Palestine men's national football team (Palestine) 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) Fifa Friendly | New Zealand wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1–5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 4–2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Atlante wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Germany 0–1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3–1 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) UEFA Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Croatia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | Netherlands wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 2–1 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) UEFA Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0–2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) UEFA Nations League | Belgium wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Turkiye 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3–1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) UEFA Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1–1 Germany UEFA Nations League | Netherlands wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | G2 Esports 2–0 TYLOO Valorant | G2 Esports wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Paper Rex 2–1 Team Liquid Valorant | Paper Rex wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5–2 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Team Vitality 1–2 Aurora Gaming CS2 | Vitality wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5–4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1–3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Malaga wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | MIBR 1–2 FURIA CS2 | FURIA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Cincinnati Reds 6–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Chicago Cubs 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0–0 Palmeiras Copa do Brasil | Reg Time: Palmeiras wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0–0 Palmeiras Copa do Brasil | PAL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Lynn Vision 0–2 Rare Atom CS2 | Map 2: Lynn Vision | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Lynn Vision 0–2 Rare Atom CS2 | Map 1: Lynn Vision | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | DEPO 2–0 The Huns Esports CS2 | Over 2.5 maps | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | DEPO 2–0 The Huns Esports CS2 | DEPO wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Marsborne 1–2 Voca CS2 | Voca wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Parma Calcio 1913 0–2 US Cremonese Coppa Italia | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | KT Rolster 0–3 Gen.G League of Legends | Over 3.5 maps | Lost |