Published 2026-10-12
Week 42, 2026 Only 1.5% of traders make the cut
Out of 797,510 public prediction-market accounts, 11,889 pass our profitability screens. The numbers behind the long-term winners.
Only 1.5% of traders make the cut
Accounts analysed
797,510
Profitable pros listed
11,889
1.5%
Combined P&L of those pros
$121.8M
Pro predictions tracked
4,841,282
In the last 30 days: 1,033,369
Matches covered
90,013
Polymarket
608,444
By platform
Kalshi
185,639
By platform
SX
3,427
By platform
Why so few?
- Pros are listed only after passing Tips’ own multi-factor screening.
- Even the market favourite wins only 54.6% of matches (last 30 days), so beating the market consistently is rare.
- Past performance does not indicate future results; the data is for reference only.
How to cite
You are welcome to quote any figure on this page. Please credit "SG Tips" and link to: https://sg.tips/reports/profitable-traders/2026-w42 · CC BY 4.0
Other reports
Profitable pros vs. the market
The most-followed matches of the week: the market favourite next to the side most profitable pros back, plus how last week’s majority calls turned out.
Most accurate pros by competition
Top 10 profitable pros per competition by hit rate over the last 30 days.
How often the market favourite wins
Hit rate of the prediction-market favourite by probability band and by sport, last 7 and 30 days.
All issues
- Week 43, 2026
- Week 42, 2026
- Week 41, 2026
- Week 40, 2026