Published 2026-10-19
Week 43, 2026 Only 1.2% of traders make the cut
Out of 803,217 public prediction-market accounts, 9,951 pass our profitability screens. The numbers behind the long-term winners.
Only 1.2% of traders make the cut
Accounts analysed
803,217
Profitable pros listed
9,951
1.2%
Combined P&L of those pros
$111.3M
Pro predictions tracked
6,310,396
In the last 30 days: 1,451,114
Matches covered
93,163
Polymarket
612,997
By platform
Kalshi
186,681
By platform
SX
3,539
By platform
Why so few?
- Pros are listed only after passing Tips’ own multi-factor screening.
- Even the market favourite wins only 61.9% of matches (last 30 days), so beating the market consistently is rare.
- Past performance does not indicate future results; the data is for reference only.
How to cite
You are welcome to quote any figure on this page. Please credit "SG Tips" and link to: https://sg.tips/reports/profitable-traders/2026-w43 · CC BY 4.0
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Profitable pros vs. the market
The most-followed matches of the week: the market favourite next to the side most profitable pros back, plus how last week’s majority calls turned out.
Most accurate pros by competition
Top 10 profitable pros per competition by hit rate over the last 30 days.
How often the market favourite wins
Hit rate of the prediction-market favourite by probability band and by sport, last 7 and 30 days.
All issues
- Week 43, 2026
- Week 42, 2026
- Week 41, 2026
- Week 40, 2026