Kalshi · Football
careful.swordfish0378 is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 76.2% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 32 won, 27 lost, 54.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 23 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 13 | 13 | 8 | 61.5% |
| Intl Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| La Liga 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
careful.swordfish0378 mainly predicts Nations League: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.2% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 41.0%. In Nations League, 11 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-15 07:08 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Inter Miami CF 2:0 New York City FC MLS | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) 1:1 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Junior wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 3:2 Como 1907 Champions League | Como wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Millonarios Once Caldas Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Millonarios wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Athletic Club Sjdr 2:2 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | Athletic Club Sjdr wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Champions League | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (Daejeon Citizen) 2:1 Jeonbuk FC Korea K League 1 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Palmeiras 1:0 Bahia Brasileiro Serie A | Palmeiras wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 0:0 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Croatia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Belgium wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 3:1 Turkiye Nations League | Turkiye wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Cyprus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 0:1 Club Atlético Belgrano (Belgrano de Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 0:0 Germany Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 0:0 Germany Nations League | Greece wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) 1:1 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Austria wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Real Sociedad B 2:3 Granada CF La Liga 2 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 1:0 Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) Nations League | Azerbaijan wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) 1:0 San Antonio FC USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1:0 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Atletico Mineiro wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Sint Maarten 2:4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines CONCACAF Nations League | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 0:1 Cameroon men's national basketball team (Cameroon) Intl Friendlies | Cameroon wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Unión Deportiva Almería (UD Almería) 2:1 Burgos CF La Liga 2 | Almeria wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Albania wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Albacete Balompié (Albacete) 1:3 SD Eibar (Eibar) La Liga 2 | Albacete wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Vanuatu men's national football team (Vanuatu) 0:1 Fiji men's national football team (Fiji) Intl Friendlies | Fiji wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Club Atlético La Paz (Club Atletico La Paz) 1:2 Venados FC (Venados) Liga de Expansion MX | Venados wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) 0:2 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Martinique 2:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Honduras wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Cuba wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3:0 Turkiye Nations League | Turkiye wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3:0 Turkiye Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) Nations League | Cyprus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 0:3 Costa Rica CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 1:4 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Haiti wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | Curacao wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | French Guiana 1:0 Sint Maarten CONCACAF Nations League | Sint Maarten wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | French Guiana 1:0 Sint Maarten CONCACAF Nations League | French Guiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 1:1 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) Nations League | Faroe Islands wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 1:1 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) Nations League | Moldova wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Honduras wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Suriname 2:1 Martinique CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Belgium wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |